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Goldman Sachs International co-CEO Anthony Gutman said governments need lower fiscal deficits and more durable economic growth to ease pressure from elevated borrowing costs.
Speaking to CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe on October 5, Gutman described rising government bond yields as a challenge across Western economies and called for a more stable policy environment. His comments are an assessment of fiscal and market conditions, not a forecast that yields will fall immediately.
Gutman argued that governments face difficult trade-offs as energy costs, labor-market conditions and fiscal pressures interact. In his view, lower spending and stronger long-term growth would provide a more comfortable backdrop for businesses and bond markets.
Large deficits generally require governments to issue more debt. Investors may demand higher yields to absorb that borrowing, although yields also move with inflation expectations, central-bank policy, economic growth and other forces.
In a September Goldman Sachs Exchanges analysis, the firm said government bond yields had climbed to multi-decade highs across the United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Japan. Goldman Sachs Research cited fiscal deficits, borrowing for artificial-intelligence investment, resilient growth and an energy-price shock among the contributing forces.
That analysis presents higher yields as the result of several pressures rather than a single cause. Gutman’s comments put particular emphasis on governments’ fiscal choices and the need for lasting growth.
Higher government bond yields can raise debt-servicing costs and feed into financing rates for businesses and households. They can also change how investors value stocks and other assets.
Whether fiscal policy changes enough to relieve that pressure remains uncertain. Gutman’s central message was that lower deficits and stronger growth would make elevated borrowing costs easier to manage.